Or better yet...
In the comments section, post your own predictions. We will be doing all 24 "merit" categories. For a full list, please click here. Any sort of tiebreaker is TBD. If you want to participate, please post your comment by 6pm CST on Oscar Sunday (Feb. 24). I will revisit this page at that time and lock all comments to avoid editing/submissions after the deadline. However, feel free to come back and edit your predictions any time before then.
***Please do not brag about how well you did if you do not submit them. It's one thing to predict the Oscars; it's another thing entirely to go on record with your predictions. So join in with the rest of us in this little competition. Bragging is for closers, only.
1st prize: Not a Cadillac Eldorado
2nd prize: Not a set of steak knives
3rd prize is you're not fired.
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Before I list my predictions, I will give a few general thoughts about why this year reminds me of the 13th Academy Awards:
- Lincoln this year is The Grapes of Wrath from 1940. It's the critic favorite, and as such is most likely to go down in history as the best film of the year. (Sorry, fans of Amour.) Furthermore, like John Ford and Grapes, it's under the direction of a cinematic giant in Spielberg. Lincoln was also the early favorite before Argo's momentum gain. Rebecca was Hitchcock's first American film and is considered by many to be his first movie that announced him as a big-time filmmaker. Much like Ben Affleck--even though I loved The Town.
- Django Unchained reminds me of The Great Dictator. While The Great Dictator is a little more timely, Django is a more uncompromising condemnation of historical horror. Tarantino is just as revered by audiences today as Chaplin was in his day, and both films are the biggest box office draws respectively for their auteurs.
- Since Silver Linings Playbook is technically considered a romantic comedy, I'll just go ahead and stretch a comparison to The Philadelphia Story, although I do so very hesitantly. Maybe I can justify this further by offering both films as early entries for two rising stars, Katharine Hepburn and Jennifer Lawrence. (To be fair, Hepburn had already won an Oscar for her first nomination.) Also, both George Cukor and David O. Russell are known as "actors' directors." That is, their films tend to garner many acting awards/nominations.
- Our Town and Les Miserables are considered very faithful adaptations of their acclaimed theatrical sources.
- The Long Voyage Home and The Life of Pi are both... set at sea?
I'll stop now before it gets any more painful to read.
Without further ado, my predictions:
Best Picture: Argo
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings
Playbook
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les
Miserables
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" - Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Documentary - Feature: Searching for
Sugar Man
Best Documentary - Short Subject: Inocente
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman
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If Argo beats Lincoln for Best Picture, it will be the same upset as Rebecca: the new blood (Affleck) beating out the established master and critical favorite (Spielberg). Plus, Argo will probably walk home with very few other Oscars (Rebecca only won 2 total). Life of Pi may have the most at the end of the night for its technical achievements, like The Thief of Bagdad. And if Argo wins Best Picture without wins from Alan Arkin or Chris Terrio, it will be the first film since Rebecca to win Best Picture without wins for acting, directing, or writing.
I'm looking forward to your predictions!
EDIT: Easily my worst year predicting the Oscars. Sorry you had to endure reading these picks. I originally had Ang Lee for Director and Lincoln for Production Design but second-guessed myself for whatever reason.
Best Picture: ‘Loncoln’
ReplyDeleteBest Director: Steven Spielberg – ‘Lincoln’
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – ‘Lincoln’
Best Actress: Quvenzhané Wallis, ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’
Best Supporting Actor: Phillip Seymour Hoffman, ‘The Master’
Best Supporting Actress: Sally Field, ‘Lincoln’
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: ‘Moonrise Kingdom’
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’
Best Animated Feature: ‘The Pirates! Band of Misfits’
Best Foreign Language Film: ‘Amour’
Best Documentary - Feature: ‘The Gatekeepers’
Best Documentary - Short Subject: ‘Inocente’
Best Live Action Short Film: ‘Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)’
Best Animated Short Film: ‘Adam and Dog’
Best Original Score: ‘Life of Pi’
Best Original Song: ‘Skyfall’ – ‘Skyfall’
Best Sound Editing: ‘Argo’
Best Sound Mixing: ‘Argo’
Best Production Design: ‘Lincoln’
Best Cinematography: ‘Django Unchained’
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: ‘Les Miserables’
Best Costume Design: ‘Anna Karenina’
Best Film Editing: ‘Argo’
Best Visual Effects: ‘Life of Pi’
It's a mixture of personal desires and acquiescence with the prevailing critical opinions. "God wills it!"
Best Picture: ‘Argo’
ReplyDeleteBest Director: Steven Spielberg – ‘Lincoln’
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – ‘Lincoln’
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain
Best Supporting Actor: Phillip Seymour Hoffman, ‘The Master’
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: ‘Moonrise Kingdom’
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’
Best Animated Feature: ‘The Pirates! Band of Misfits’
Best Foreign Language Film: ‘Amour’
Best Documentary - Feature: ‘5 broken cameras’
Best Documentary - Short Subject: ‘Inocente’
Best Live Action Short Film: ‘Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)’
Best Animated Short Film: ‘Paper Man’
Best Original Score: ‘Skyfall’
Best Original Song: ‘Skyfall’ – ‘Skyfall’
Best Sound Editing: ‘Skyfall’
Best Sound Mixing: ‘skyfall’
Best Production Design: ‘Lincoln’
Best Cinematography: ‘Django Unchained’
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: ‘Les Miserables’
Best Costume Design: ‘Les Miserable’
Best Film Editing: ‘Argo’
Best Visual Effects: ‘Life of Pi’
The BAFTAllite & (Sometimes) Utterly Ridiculous Picks System, or BURPS (by Tim D.):
ReplyDeleteBest Picture: 'Argo'
Best Director: David O. Russell – ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
Best Actor: Bradley Cooper – ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - 'Silver Linings Playbook'
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin - ‘Argo’
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - 'Les Miserables'
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: ‘Django Unchained’
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: ‘Life of Pi’
Best Animated Feature: ‘Wreck-It Ralph’
Best Foreign Language Film: ‘Amour’
Best Documentary - Feature: ‘Searching for Sugar Man’
Best Documentary - Short Subject: ‘Redemption’
Best Live Action Short Film: ‘Death of a Shadow’
Best Animated Short Film: ‘Paper Man’
Best Original Score: ‘Life of Pi’
Best Original Song: ‘Skyfall’ – ‘Skyfall’
Best Sound Editing: ‘Skyfall’
Best Sound Mixing: ‘Les Miserables’
Best Production Design: ‘Les Miserables’
Best Cinematography: ‘Life of Pi’
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: ‘Les Miserables’
Best Costume Design: ‘Anna Karenina’
Best Film Editing: ‘Argo’
Best Visual Effects: ‘Life of Pi’
Best Picture: Lincoln
ReplyDeleteBest Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: Amour (Michael Haneke)
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln (Tony Kushner)
Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Documentary - Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Best Documentary - Short Subject: Inocente
Best Live Action Short Film: Death of a Shadow
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" - Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Picture: Argo (not only do i think it will will, i genuinely thought it was the best this year)
ReplyDeleteBest Director: Lincoln (but really ZD30 or Argo)
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: Zero Dark 30
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln
Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Documentary - Feature: 5 broken cameras
Best Documentary - Short Subject: Inocente
Best Live Action Short Film: Death of a Shadow
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman
Best Original Score: Lincoln
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" - Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Best Sound Mixing: Life of Pi
Best Production Design: Les Miserables
Best Cinematography: Django Unchained
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Picture: Lincoln
ReplyDeleteBest Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin - Argo
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Best Writing - Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" - Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Documentary Feature- Searching for Sugar Man
Best Documentary - Short Subject: Open Heart
Best Live Action Short Film: Curfew
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman